Xyoo 2023, muaj 153 tus neeg tuag los ntawm tus kab mob dengue hauv Kerala, uas yog 32% ntawm cov neeg tuag los ntawm tus kab mob dengue hauv Is Nrias teb. Bihar yog lub xeev uas muaj tus lej thib ob ntawm cov neeg tuag los ntawm tus kab mob dengue ntau tshaj plaws, tsuas yog muaj 74 tus neeg tuag los ntawm tus kab mob dengue, tsawg dua ib nrab ntawm Kerala tus lej. Ib xyoos dhau los, tus kws tshawb fawb txog huab cua Roxy Mathew Call, uas tau ua haujlwm rau tus qauv kwv yees kev sib kis ntawm tus kab mob dengue, tau mus cuag tus thawj coj saib xyuas kev hloov pauv huab cua thiab kev noj qab haus huv ntawm Kerala thov nyiaj pab rau qhov project. Nws pab neeg ntawm Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) tau tsim tus qauv zoo sib xws rau Pune. Dr Khil, tus kws tshawb fawb txog huab cua ntawm Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), tau hais tias, "Qhov no yuav pab tau zoo rau lub chaw haujlwm saib xyuas kev noj qab haus huv ntawm Kerala vim nws yuav pab saib xyuas thiab siv cov kev ntsuas tiv thaiv kom tsis txhob muaj kab mob." tus thawj coj nodal.
Tsuas yog cov chaw nyob email ntawm Tus Thawj Coj Saib Xyuas Kev Noj Qab Haus Huv thiab Tus Lwm Thawj Coj Saib Xyuas Kev Noj Qab Haus Huv xwb thiaj li muab rau nws. Txawm hais tias muaj email ceeb toom thiab cov lus hauv xov tooj los xij, tsis muaj cov ntaub ntawv twg muab rau nws.
Tib yam siv rau cov ntaub ntawv nag los. "Nrog rau kev soj ntsuam zoo, kev kwv yees zoo, cov lus ceeb toom zoo thiab cov cai zoo, ntau tus neeg lub neej yuav raug cawm dim," Dr Cole, uas tau txais khoom plig tshawb fawb siab tshaj plaws hauv Is Nrias teb xyoo no, Vigyan Yuva Shanti Swarup Bhatnagar Geologist Award hais. Nws tau hais lus hu ua 'Climate: What hangs in the balance' ntawm Manorama Conclave hauv Thiruvananthapuram rau hnub Friday.
Dr. Cole tau hais tias vim muaj kev hloov pauv ntawm huab cua, Western Ghats thiab Arabian Hiav Txwv ntawm ob sab ntawm Kerala tau dhau los ua dab thiab dej hiav txwv. "Huab cua tsis yog tsuas yog hloov pauv xwb, nws hloov pauv sai heev," nws hais. Tib txoj kev daws teeb meem, nws hais, yog tsim kom muaj Kerala uas zoo rau ib puag ncig. "Peb yuav tsum tsom mus rau theem panchayat. Txoj kev, tsev kawm ntawv, tsev, lwm yam chaw thiab thaj av ua liaj ua teb yuav tsum tau hloov kho rau kev hloov pauv ntawm huab cua," nws hais.
Ua ntej, nws hais tias, Kerala yuav tsum tsim kom muaj lub network saib xyuas huab cua zoo thiab muaj txiaj ntsig. Thaum Lub Xya Hli 30, hnub uas muaj av qeeg Wayanad, Lub Chaw Saib Xyuas Huab Cua Is Nrias teb (IMD) thiab Lub Chaw Tswj Xyuas Kev Puas Tsuaj ntawm Kerala State Disaster Management Authority (KSDMA) tau tshaj tawm ob daim ntawv qhia ntsuas dej nag sib txawv. Raws li daim ntawv qhia KSDMA, Wayanad tau txais nag hnyav heev (ntau tshaj 115mm) thiab nag hnyav rau Lub Xya Hli 30, txawm li cas los xij, IMD muab plaub qhov kev nyeem sib txawv rau Wayanad: nag hnyav heev, nag hnyav, nag nruab nrab thiab nag me me;
Raws li daim ntawv qhia IMD, feem ntau cov cheeb tsam hauv Thiruvananthapuram thiab Kollam tau txais nag me me mus rau me me heev, tab sis KSDMA tau tshaj tawm tias ob lub cheeb tsam no tau txais nag nruab nrab. "Peb tsis tuaj yeem ua siab ntev rau qhov ntawd hnub no. Peb yuav tsum tsim kom muaj lub network saib xyuas huab cua hauv Kerala kom nkag siab thiab kwv yees huab cua kom raug," Dr Kohl hais. "Cov ntaub ntawv no yuav tsum muaj rau pej xeem," nws hais.
Hauv Kerala muaj ib lub tsev kawm ntawv txhua 3 kilometers. Cov tsev kawm ntawv no tuaj yeem nruab nrog cov khoom siv tswj huab cua. "Txhua lub tsev kawm ntawv tuaj yeem nruab nrog cov ntsuas nag thiab cov ntsuas kub los ntsuas qhov kub. Xyoo 2018, ib lub tsev kawm ntawv tau saib xyuas nag thiab dej hauv Meenachil River thiab cawm 60 tsev neeg hauv qab dej los ntawm kev kwv yees dej nyab," nws hais.
Ib yam li ntawd, cov tsev kawm ntawv tuaj yeem siv hluav taws xob los ntawm lub hnub thiab kuj muaj cov thoob dej nag. "Ua li no, cov tub ntxhais kawm yuav tsis tsuas paub txog kev hloov pauv huab cua xwb, tab sis kuj npaj rau nws," nws hais. Lawv cov ntaub ntawv yuav dhau los ua ib feem ntawm lub network saib xyuas.
Txawm li cas los xij, kev kwv yees dej nyab thiab av qeeg yuav tsum tau muaj kev sib koom tes thiab kev koom tes ntawm ntau lub chaw haujlwm, xws li geology thiab hydrology, los tsim cov qauv. "Peb ua tau qhov no," nws hais.
Txhua kaum xyoo, 17 meters ntawm thaj av ploj mus. Dr. Cole ntawm Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology tau hais tias dej hiav txwv tau nce 3 millimeters ib xyoos txij li xyoo 1980, lossis 3 centimeters ib xyoo caum. Nws hais tias txawm hais tias nws zoo li me me, yog tias qhov nqes hav tsuas yog 0.1 degrees, 17 meters ntawm thaj av yuav raug rhuav tshem. "Nws yog tib zaj dab neeg qub. Los ntawm xyoo 2050, dej hiav txwv yuav nce 5 millimeters ib xyoos," nws hais.
Ib yam li ntawd, txij li xyoo 1980 los, tus naj npawb ntawm cov cua daj cua dub tau nce 50 feem pua thiab lawv lub sijhawm ntev li 80 feem pua, nws hais. Thaum lub sijhawm no, qhov dej nag ntau heev tau nce peb npaug. Nws hais tias txog xyoo 2050, dej nag yuav nce 10% rau txhua qhov degree Celsius nce hauv qhov kub.
Kev Cuam Tshuam ntawm Kev Hloov Pauv Siv Av Ib txoj kev tshawb fawb txog Trivandrum's Urban Heat Island (UHI) (ib lo lus siv los piav qhia txog cov nroog sov dua li cov chaw nyob deb nroog) pom tias qhov kub thiab txias hauv cov chaw tsim kho lossis cov hav zoov pob zeb yuav nce mus txog 30.82 degrees Celsius piv rau 25.92 degrees Celsius. xyoo 1988 - dhia yuav luag 5 degrees hauv 34 xyoo.
Txoj kev tshawb fawb uas Dr. Cole tau nthuav tawm qhia tau hais tias nyob rau hauv thaj chaw qhib qhov kub yuav nce ntawm 25.92 degrees Celsius xyoo 1988 mus rau 26.8 degrees Celsius xyoo 2022. Hauv cov cheeb tsam uas muaj cov nroj tsuag, qhov kub tau nce ntawm 26.61 degrees Celsius mus rau 30.82 degrees Celsius xyoo 2022, dhia ntawm 4.21 degrees.
Qhov kub ntawm dej tau sau tseg ntawm 25.21 degrees Celsius, qis dua me ntsis ntawm 25.66 degrees Celsius uas tau sau tseg rau xyoo 1988, qhov kub yog 24.33 degrees Celsius;
Dr. Cole hais tias qhov kub thiab txias siab thiab qis hauv lub nroog cov kob kub kuj nce ntxiv tas li thaum lub sijhawm ntawd. "Kev hloov pauv ntawm kev siv av kuj tseem tuaj yeem ua rau thaj av muaj kev phom sij rau av qeeg thiab dej nyab sai," nws hais.
Dr. Cole tau hais tias kev daws teeb meem kev hloov pauv huab cua xav tau ob txoj kev npaj: kev txo qis thiab kev hloov pauv. "Kev txo qis kev hloov pauv huab cua tam sim no dhau peb lub peev xwm. Qhov no yuav tsum tau ua thoob ntiaj teb. Kerala yuav tsum tsom mus rau kev hloov pauv. KSDMA tau txheeb xyuas cov chaw kub. Muab cov khoom siv tswj huab cua rau txhua lub panchayat, "nws hais.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Cuaj hlis-23-2024